Agent Valuation VerdictIndustrials · Mobility & Logistics

Uber Technologies, Inc. (UBER) DCF Valuation and Intrinsic Value

Pierce Agent ran an update on October 16, 2026. This Pierce Research report is a public summary, not a recommendation.

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Probabilistic Valuation Scenarios

UBER Bull, Base & Bear Case Valuations

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Bear Case Floor

Hyperscaler CAPEX pauses, aggressive supply constraints, margin compression to historical lows.

$66.99
-5% MoS
Consensus DCF
Base Case

Published Pierce Agent base case. Margin of safety uses (fair value − price) / fair value.

$93.04
+24.4% Margin of Safety
Bull Case Scenario

Next-gen architecture ramps ahead of schedule, sovereign AI expansion, pricing power sustained.

$132.12
+46.8% MoS
Valuation Verdict

Margin of Safety

Undervalued (+24.4%)
OvervaluedFair (0%)Undervalued
Last close$70.35
DCF Fair Value$93.04
DCF ParametersLast close

Fair Value: $93.04 vs Last close $70.35

Pierce Agent's 5-year discounted cash flow model puts UBER intrinsic value at $93.04. Versus last close the stock is undervalued by 24.4% (margin of safety +24.4%).

WACC (Discount Rate)9.5%
Terminal Growth (g)3.5%
Moat ClassificationWide Moat
Financial HealthStrong
DCF Stress Test

Valuation Sensitivity Matrix

Base Price: $70.35
WACC \ Growth3.0% g3.5% g4.0% g
8.5% WACC
$103.80
+47.5%
$112.75
+60.3%
$123.68
+75.8%
9.5% WACC
$86.96
+23.6%
$93.04
+32.3%
Base Case
$100.23
+42.5%
10.5% WACC
$74.63
+6.1%
$78.99
+12.3%
$84.01
+19.4%
Rows: Discount Rate (WACC)Columns: Long-term Terminal Growth (g)

Technical levels below come from the same Pierce Agent run: 50-day and 200-day moving averages, RSI-14, and nearest support/resistance. Use them as context for timing, not as a substitute for the DCF.

Technical Analyst Skill

Key Technical Levels & Momentum

Golden Cross (Bullish)
Support 1 (S1)$65.00
Resistance 1 (R1)$77.00
50-Day SMA$71.80
200-Day SMA$68.50
14-Day RSI:52.8Neutral (35-65)
52W Low: $58.00Current: $70.35 (43% of range)52W High: $87.00
Pierce Agent has not published a price chart for this snapshot.
Pierce Agent Fundamental Highlights

Fundamental Health & Moat Assessment

Uber possesses unmatched global scale in urban ride-sharing mobility and food delivery. Two-sided network effects allow cross-platform customer acquisition, driving accelerating free cash flow and share buybacks.

Key Bullish Catalysts
  • ✓ Autonomous vehicle fleet partnerships with Waymo and Cruise
  • ✓ High-margin retail and restaurant digital advertising revenue expansion
  • ✓ Uber One membership loyalty and frequency lock-in
Fundamental Risks & Headwinds
  • ⚠ Gig worker classification labor litigation in key states
  • ⚠ Disruption risks if autonomous robotaxi developers disintermediate platforms
  • ⚠ Insurance cost inflation impacting driver take rates
Pierce Agent draft

Launch Agent on UBER DCF

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Next research steps (draft only)
Technical entry levelsRe-run DCF in Pierce Agent
Valuation FAQs

UBER Valuation FAQs

Based on Pierce Agent's Discounted Cash Flow (DCF) model utilizing a 9.5% WACC and 3.5% terminal growth rate, UBER's estimated fair value is $93.04 per share.